By joining forces, the U.S. and China are not just advancing artificial intelligence - they're redefining how global collaboration drives innovation, even amidst political divides.
Research: China and the U.S. produce more impactful AI research when collaborating together. Image Credit: Shutterstock AI
In an article published in the journal Nature, researchers examined the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) talent migration and cross-border collaboration between China and the United States (U.S.), analyzing 350,000 AI scientists and five million AI papers.
The authors highlighted a notable pattern of bidirectional talent migration, frequent collaborations post-migration, and increased collaboration since 2000. The findings revealed that collaborative efforts between the two nations yielded more impactful results, suggesting the potential benefits of fostering, rather than restricting, scientific collaboration despite geopolitical tensions. The researchers specifically noted that collaborative papers in AI had a higher "citation premium" than in other computer science fields.
Background
AI is a transformative technology with profound implications for global economics, politics, and society. Previous research has highlighted AI’s potential to revolutionize sectors like healthcare, automation, and decision-making while raising concerns about bias, inequality, and security risks.
Globally, the U.S. and China have emerged as frontrunners in AI development, with both nations investing heavily in research, innovation, and workforce development. Despite their dominance, geopolitical tensions have introduced policies that restrict talent migration and collaborations, such as the U.S. "China Initiative" and China's emphasis on domestic publications. These measures have led to a noticeable decline in cross-border collaborations in scientific fields like life sciences. The study highlighted that while these policies may aim to safeguard intellectual property, they could inadvertently reduce the research impact and innovation potential of both countries.
Existing studies have explored the impact of these tensions on scientific cooperation but lack comprehensive analyses specific to AI—a field critical to both nations’ global competitiveness. This paper addressed these gaps by analyzing a dataset of five million AI papers and 350,000 researchers.
It evaluated global rankings in AI impact, productivity, and novelty, investigated cross-border collaborations and talent migration, and demonstrated that U.S.-China partnerships yielded more impactful research. By highlighting the benefits of collaboration, this study provided evidence to inform policies that could foster rather than hinder scientific exchange.
Key Findings
The researchers examined the global AI research landscape with a focus on the U.S. and China. Using the Microsoft Academic Graph (MAG), they assessed AI productivity, impact, novelty, and scientist migration between the two nations. The U.S. led in total AI papers, contributing 25.23% of global output, and in impact, accounting for 43.9% of the top 1% of impactful papers. China, however, was catching up, especially in terms of context novelty, content novelty, and the number of AI scientists.
The authors highlighted a significant movement of AI researchers between the U.S. and China. Most AI scientists moving between the two countries are of Asian ancestry, with 98.8% of those moving from China to the U.S. and 96% moving the other way. Both countries attracted AI scientists from the top 100 universities at similar rates (~27%-29%), but U.S. institutions recruited more from China (37%) compared to China’s recruitment from the U.S. (20%).
The authors also revealed that scientists who migrated between the two countries tended to be more experienced, productive, and impactful. After migrating, they showed significantly higher collaboration rates with their country of origin. For example, China-based scientists who moved from the U.S. were 20 times more likely to collaborate with U.S. researchers, while U.S.-based scientists from China were 30 times more likely to collaborate with China-based researchers. The study noted that such collaboration rates declined over time for China-based scientists but increased for U.S.-based scientists, providing unique insights into post-migration research dynamics.
U.S.-China collaboration in AI research has increased since 2010 but remains a small fraction of overall AI productivity. Papers involving both countries tended to have larger teams and were more impactful, with higher citation rates and more representation in top AI conferences. The study emphasized that U.S.-China collaborative papers had a "publication premium" in leading AI conferences such as NeurIPS, ICML, and IJCAI.
Discussion and Implications
This study contributed to AI bibliometrics and the mobility of AI scientists, addressing the U.S.-China AI collaboration gap. While previous research examined AI dynamics in various fields and countries, U.S.-China collaboration in AI has not been thoroughly analyzed until now. The study highlighted the migration of AI scientists between the U.S. and China and how this movement fostered collaborations that benefitted both nations. These collaborations produced more impactful research compared to domestic efforts.
The research also drew from studies on scientist mobility across disciplines, noting that migration patterns in AI were similar to those in other fields. Comparing U.S.-China AI collaborations with collaborations involving other countries, the study found that while collaborations with other nations also enhanced research impact, U.S.-China partnerships were particularly fruitful. In fact, the citation premium for U.S.-China collaborations in AI surpassed similar premiums observed in other computer science fields.
Despite geopolitical tensions, U.S.-China collaborations appeared to be crucial for advancing AI research. The study suggested that restricting these collaborations could be more detrimental to the U.S., which relied heavily on China for impactful AI research. The study’s limitations included the use of English-centric data sources and a focus on recent data, leaving out trends in the rapidly evolving field of AI, such as large language models. Future research could address these gaps by incorporating Mandarin-language publications and analyzing the impact of large language models on AI collaborations.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the researchers highlighted the importance of U.S.-China collaborations in AI research, demonstrating that cross-border cooperation resulted in more impactful outcomes. Despite geopolitical tensions, the bidirectional migration of AI talent between the two nations fostered frequent collaborations, leading to higher productivity and novelty in research.
The findings suggested that restricting such collaborations could hinder the U.S. more than China, emphasizing the value of fostering scientific exchange to advance AI innovation. The study provided insights into the global AI landscape, encouraging policies that supported international partnerships for more robust AI advancements. Ultimately, the researchers argued that AI research benefits from a global perspective that transcends nationalistic barriers, underscoring the collective gains of international cooperation.
Journal reference:
- AlShebli, B., Memon, S. A., Evans, J. A., & Rahwan, T. (2024). China and the U.S. Produce more impactful AI research when collaborating together. Scientific Reports, 14(1), 1-13. DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-79863-5, https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-79863-5